I've already been hearing the questions. How much snow do you think we'll get? Of course, my response has been we're not going to get any snow. This is true as far as accumulating snowfall is concerned. But - I do think we'll see some sleet, rain, and a few snowflakes mixing together tonight mainly in our Northern Counties. This includes Marion, Winston, Cullman, Blount, Etowah, and Cherokee. The ground temperatures and air temperatures will be too warm for anything to stick around. For those who have friends and relatives in the Tennessee Valley - there may be some minor acccumulations near the Alabama and Tennessee border.
This Critical Winter Weather Thickness lines are all north of our area based on the 12z NAM. An easy way to figure out whether or not snow is likely - if you live north of the lines - you will see snow. If you live south of the lines - it will primarily be rain. Temperatures tonight will only fall into the mid to upper 30s.
Rain will likely last through early Tuesday morning leaving us with cloudy skies by the afternoon. We are expecting a good rebound of temperatures for Wednesday and by Wednesday night we can expect another round of rain and even some thunderstorms. However, instability looks to be lacking with this next system. That's a good thing - with the high helicity values we'd be running into a severe weather event if the CAPE values were higher. At this point - it looks like thunder may very well be limited.
Rain and occasional thunderstorms will last through part of Thursday and we expect things to clear out on the backside of this system. I'm expecting sunshine for Friday and Saturday with highs in 60s.
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist