It's all quiet right now with mostly sunny skies across the state. The temperatures again will soar to the upper 90s with the heat index reaching over 100. The NAM is projecting CAPE (instability) values over 4,000 j/kg here in the southeast. Wind shear is almost non-existent. This will keep down the threat for tornadoes, but there is still the possibility of strong to severe storms developing. My primary concern is microburst winds. Even a few thunderstorms can produce some considerable damage. I don't think we'll see the thunderstorm coverage we saw last night.
The atmosphere is "capped" right now and all will continue to be quiet unless we see a break in the cap later this afternoon/evening. The cap is keeping cloud cover to a minimum across the state. The GOES imagery is showing only a few clouds - most of those are in South Alabama.
I don't anticipate much change through the weekend with occasional showers and thunderstorms developing both Saturday and Sunday. Highs will reach the upper 90s on Saturday with slightly milder temperatures on Sunday.
The big change is coming early next week as a cool front slides through the state. I expect widespread rain late Monday and Tuesday. Showers could linger through Wednesday. We will have to monitor for a chance for stronger storms...still not a tornado threat, but strong Summertime type storms capable of high winds, hail, and lightning. The best news - I'm thinking highs by Tuesday will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Goodbye to the triple digits for at least a short-time.
J-P Dice
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist
jdice@wbrc.com
Twitter: jpdice_Fox6
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