Forecasting a Soaker

09/17/2012

Low pressure spinning to our south and an approaching cold front will mean a wet and stormy next couple of days. While severe weather isn't completely out of the picture, I feel confident the greatest threat for severe storms will remain south of I-85 and out of the Fox 6 viewing area. We may see that severe threat increase during the evening hours for the Montgomery and Auburn areas.

Rain has already been invading Northwest Alabama this morning with clouds on the increase for the rest of the state.

Precipitable water is around 2" and this means heavy rain and even some flooding is possible over the next 24 hours. Rain will become widespread later tonight and continue through tomorrow. We'll probably lack the wind shear and be a bit too stable for severe weather across most of Central and North Central Alabama.

The primary threats with this system will be widespread rain, occasional gusty winds, and a small tornado potential south of I-85.

Rain will continue through Tuesday with high pressure and much colder air in the forecast by Wednesday. I think we'll likely have many areas with lows in the upper 40s Wednesday morning. It looks like dry weather will continue through the weekend. Enjoy the highs in the 70s.