It looks like most of the rain will be gone by early tomorrow morning. However, the clouds will linger for much of the morning. We'll be overcast with a ceiling of about 1,500ft through 10am. During the late morning and early afternoon - we'll see scattered clouds with temperatures climbing ito the lower 60s. It will be clear and cool tomorrow night with lows around 37. Expect plenty of sunshine for Sunday with warmer temperatures. Highs will reach the mid to upper 60s Sunday afternoon. We could see some additional rain late Sunday evening.
Monday Forecast is Stormy: I'm watching Monday afternoon and evening closely. We have a trough sweeping through the region that is taking on a negative tilt. Negatively tilted troughs are sometimes associated with severe weather. There will be plenty of wind shear available Monday. Like so often it's a question of instability. Forecast models are indicating an impressive increase in dewpoints across the state. It still looks like the best threat for severe storms would remain south of I-20 or perhaps even farther south.
The 0Z NAM model has dewpoints in the mid 60s reaching just north of Birmingham on Monday evening. It still looks like the highest instability will remain comfined to the areas south of Montgomery with the highest "spin" in the atmosphere just to our north. This is a weather situation we will have to watch. If we were to see severe storms develop - the likely timeframe would be from 3pm through 9pm on Monday.
Bey0nd Monday - it looks like a cooler weather pattern with partly cloudy skies Tuesday through Thursday. I think the weekend should be significantly colder.
J-P Dice
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist
jdice@wbrc.com
Twitter: @jpdice_Fox6
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