We continue to track an area of shower and thunderstorm activity associated with low pressure located between Bermuda and the Bahamas that continues to show signs of development. The chance is very high that this low pressure system will form into Tropical Storm Bonnie by later today or Saturday. This system does not pose a threat to Alabama but will eventually impact the Mid-Atlantic States.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center just released their Atlantic Hurricane 2016 Season forecast which runs from June 1 through November 30th. They say that the season will most likely be near-normal but that climate signals that influence the formation of Atlantic storms make predicting this season particularly difficult.
NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms, of which 4 to 8 could become hurricanes, including 1 to 4 major hurricanes.
While a near-normal season is most likely with a 45 perfect chance, there is also a 30 percent chance of an above-normal season and a 25 percent chance of a below-normal season.
(If you forgot, Hurricane Alex, a pre-season storm formed over the far eastern Atlantic in January)
We will keep you posted on the tropics!
A new update comes in around 2pm from the National Hurricane Center.
Jill Gilardi WBRC First Alert Certified Meteorologist