WHERE WILL IT GO? We expect the system to move northwest towards the central Gulf and then begin a sharper turn north and northeast by Thursday. The Florida Gulf coast looks to be the more likely location for a landfall, although areas as far west as Gulf Shores will need to remain weather alert for any possible changes in track.
WHAT ABOUT TIMING? The impacts involving heavier rain could begin as early as Wednesday and linger into Friday. So if you have Labor Day weekend plans, the primary threat for rain and gusty winds along the Gulf Coast would impact Thursday and Friday, with improving weather on Saturday.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS: We are also monitoring a new tropical depression near the Carolinas. This system is expected to turn north as it approaches the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Tuesday. By then the system may be a tropical storm. The next name on the 2016 list is Hermine. We’re also keeping an eye on Category Three Hurricane Gaston over the central Atlantic. The latest satellite data shows a well defined eye as the system drifts very slowly northwest and remains well away from land.
THE LATEST ON OUR FORECAST: The bigger weather story here at home will continue to be hot and humid weather through Wednesday. Keep the shades handy because we will have lots of sunshine over the coming days, with a few stray showers, and possibly an afternoon storm. Feels-like temperatures will be surging into the triple digit range. Based on the latest thoughts regarding TD#9, I’m thinking deeper tropical moisture to the south could spark a better coverage of scattered showers and storms on Thursday. Drier air could begin to work in behind the tropical system on Friday and help set the stage for a very nice weekend. Right now I’m forecasting sunshine, with highs in the 80s and lower humidity for Saturday and Sunday. We will continue to fine tune the forecast and Mickey will be in with more updates beginning at 4AM.
WBRC First Alert Meteorologist Wes Wyatt