Model data is still showing a chance for rain and perhaps even a few storms next Saturday.
A strong cold front looks to form across the Midwest late next week and track eastward across Alabama on Saturday.
The strong storm system looks to draw Gulf moisture northward which would help set the stage for rain and increase instability enough for a few thunderstorms. I don't expect strong or severe storms, just a few rumbles of thunder after flashes of lightning.
The model data also shows enough lift in the atmosphere to support this rain chance.
IF moisture return is less then we won't see much rain, IF moisture return is more then we will see a more intense round of rain and storms. We will be able to nail down these details as we get closer in time.
Drought conditions will continue to get worse and we would need 10-15 inches of rain over the next 2 months to alleviate the situation but that is highly unlikely. This drought could go on for years...
Cold weather season is slowly arriving and we have already seen some areas dip into the middle 30s. After the strong cold front passes by next weekend, high pressure building in by the 21st looks very chilly as of now and we might experience our first widespread frost or freeze.
According to the average time of year we see a first frost, we are currently averaging later.
We will continue to keep you updated regarding the chance for rain and a potential frost.
Have a great rest of your Sunday,
Jill Gilardi WBRC First Alert Certified Meteorologist