Some good news to report this morning. Our possible severe weather threat is improving. The much anticipated rain and thunderstorm activity to the south is holding together and will significantly limit our severe weather threat in Alabama. The HRRR model, which is one of the best performers for severe weather, keep instability modest through the afternoon and evening. Based on the latest radar and model data, it is unlikely we will see any widespread severe weather.
The HRRR model shows heavy rain through this afternoon tracking from west to east. Severe weather parameters should remain low through the evening as a result of the thunderstorms in South Alabama and Florida.
Impacts: Some of the heaviest rainfall will move into the I-65 corridor between 5pm and 7pm. This will make for some rough driving conditions including slippery roads and low visibility. It is possible we could see some gusty winds at times. The risk for hail and tornadoes will low. We can expect the rain to continue into the overnight. If an isolated strong to severe storms were to develop, it would likely be for areas west of I-65. There is a brief opportunity for severe development in Northwest Alabama this afternoon between 2pm and 5p. We will have to monitor Marion, Lamar, and Winston Counties closely.
Make sure you stay close to weather information including the WBRC First Alert weather app for updates.
WBRC First Alert Chief Meteorologist