The First Full Day Of Fall only means another hot, humid day across the region. High pressure remains anchored to the east blocking frontal passage as the system remains stalled to the west. The southerly wind flow will continue to bring moisture contents up but the best rain chances will remain closest to the front anchored to the west and northwest. We could still see a few isolated showers through the afternoon with rain chances beginning to increase slightly as early as tonight. The trend to deepening moisture will continue across the state Monday as the area of high pressure to the east and low pressure to the west will both contribute to increased rain chances with numerous rain showers and possible thunderstorms continuing through the beginning of the new work-week. The warm, moist south and southwesterly wind flow will continue Wednesday and Thursday with a stagnant weather pattern as we remain caught between low pressure to the west and high pressure over Bermuda to the east. With so much moisture in place and a front finally approaching from the west rain chances will actually increase during the mid-week time period but the front dissipates before penetrating The Deep South but a building ridge of high pressure may lower rain chances somewhat by Friday and Saturday.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Kirk will be moving over increasingly warm waters with limited wind shear for the next two or three days. The storm's intensification will, however, be limited by its relatively rapid forward motion and drier air moving into the system. In addition, Kirk will likely encounter some strong westerly winds bringing a weakening trend as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. Kirk may even weaken into an area of low pressure a it approaches the Eastern Caribbean Sea, but for now the Official National Hurricane Center Forecast shows Kirk maintaining Tropical Storm status for the next five days.
ON YOUR SIDE