We are one week away from Thanksgiving and right now the forecast for the big holiday is looking great! However, I’m still a bit concerned about the weather leading into the big Iron Bowl Saturday.
(RPM Model Simulated Radar For Sunday 9:30 a.m.)
First off, we will need to keep a close eye on this coming Sunday. We are in our secondary primary severe weather season and instability can develop quickly during this time of the year. Just this past Sunday night moist-unstable air migrated into our state, with a tornado reported as far north as Perry County. As J-P mentioned in an earlier post, some data is showing the instability values trending southward. Hopefully that trend will continue with only rain and general storms on Sunday. Once this system passes, another shot of very cold air will move our way for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. We’re seeing more agreement in the data that Thanksgiving will be dry however, rain could return on Black Friday.
(European Model Valid For Friday November 28th 6 p.m.)
Over the past several days I’ve been monitoring the data for the big holiday weekend closely. Last week I noticed that models were generating a big precipitation maker for the 28th and 29th. Over the past two days the data backed off on rain and showed all dry weather for the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Now the rain is back, at-least according to the European model, for Black Friday. This model still shows that precipitation will be out of here just in time for the Iron Bowl but another blast of cold air could impact the state. This is still over a week away and a lot could change but I wanted to share some early thoughts on what we’re monitoring. We will have plenty of updates in the days ahead.
Fox6 Meteorologist Wes Wyatt