So just for kicks, I looked over the simulated radar data for Missouri and Arkansas and am concerned with what I see. I know storms are ongoing right now but what I am most concerned with is what might develop later today. The forecast radar shows supercell thunderstorms developing late this afternoon and this evening. Supercells are the kind of storms that can produce tornadoes, very large hail, destructive winds and heavy rainfall that results in flooding.
HERE ARE THE IMAGES THAT GOT MY ATTENTION:
- Live along I-44 corridor and points south? Or know anyone that does? Well you need to be weather aware today and be prepared to implement your severe weather safety plan in case a warning is issued.
Storms continue to strengthen and track eastward though supercells that gain some rotation could start to turn right and track more towards the southeast. If this model is correct, these storms could produce tornadoes and especially very large and destructive hail that can damage property. Better be sure the car is in the garage or under a carport if you have one. Be sure to keep up to date with the latest watches and warnings either via your weather radio, favorite TV station's weather app, through text alerts or TV.
Storms look to continue to blossom and strengthen through the evening hours and all modes of severe weather will still be possible.
Again, it appears that the strongest cells will form along and south of the I-44 corridor due to the position of the fronts and where all of the instability is forecast to increase.
- Be ready between 4pm through midnight
- Strongest between 6pm-10pm
The Storm Prediction Center shows an enhanced risk for severe weather across southern Missouri into Arkansas and points eastward.
Stay safe my friends,
Jill Gilardi Fox 6 Meteorologist