A dangerous severe weather outbreak likely today across parts of the Central Plains and Mississippi and Tennessee River Valley. The powerful storm system will make a slow progression eastward over the next few days and cause rounds of severe storms to develop and impact Alabama at times.
The Storm Prediction Center has included a small portion of northwest Alabama in a slight risk for severe storms late tonight into Monday morning. Storms to the west will be tracking northeastward overnight and may clip the state. Storms will be in the weakening phase as they arrive but still could be severe especially across Marion and Lamar counties. Be sure to turn your weather radio on before bed and keep your cell phone on too so that you can receive and hear text alerts. Overall, round #1 appears to be the weaker of the 3.
Is the most concerning of the 3. All of the Fox 6 viewing area will need to be on guard and ready to take action as early as Monday afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has included a larger portion of Alabama under a moderate risk for severe storms in red. Our local model shows rounds of strong to severe storms from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. All of the ripe ingredients will be in place for the development of supercell thunderstorms and bowing storm structures. Be ready for storms capable of producing tornadoes, some of which could be strong, damaging winds in excess of 70 mph, hail greater than 1" in diameter and heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding. Some of the worst weather will likely take place when most are trying to sleep. Again, have a loud enough way to get weather alerts.
HOUR-BY-HOUR STORM FORECAST:
Is conditional at this point and dependent on what round #2 does to the atmosphere. If recovery takes place, redevelopment along the main cold front across Mississippi could spell another round of all modes of severe weather on Tuesday afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center has the entire state under a slight risk for severe storms.
HOUR-BY-HOUR ROUND #3 FORECAST
A lot can still change between now and then regarding the timing and strength of the rounds of storms. Please check back for multiple updates today on the blog and myfoxal.com. Don't be scared, just be prepared. Fox 6 is on your side and will be with you every step of the way. You can count on us to keep you up to date as we get new data.
Fox6 Meteorologist Jill Gilardi