Convective Available Potential Energy is a measure of instability through the depth of the atmosphere, and is related to updraft strength in thunderstorms.
CAPE values for next Tuesday:
I think there will be enough energy in the atmosphere for air mass thunderstorms to develop during the Tuesday-Friday time frame. You need a lifting mechanism to get storms to form and there may not be a good trigger but if the air warms up high enough then storms will form.
The convective temperature is the temperature the surface of the earth must warm to in order for thunderstorms to occur in the absence of synoptic forcing mechanisms.
The forecast convective temperature needed to be reached for storm development:
Tuesday is around 80°
Wednesday is around 84°
Thursday is near 86°
Now if a descent lifting mechanism moves in next week then the chance for organized storms increases.
It's too early to know much about the timing of storms nor strength but once we do we will be the First to Alert you!
Quiet weather is likely between now and Monday!
Jill Gilardi WBRC First Alert Certified Meteorologist