2 ROUNDS OF STORMS!
The first arrives from west to east after 4am and primary threats with the first round in the morning will be strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall. Storms will be strongest across Mississippi and tend to weaken as they move across Alabama where the atmosphere is fairly stable.
The second round takes place during the afternoon and evening hours. Upper level support for strong to severe storms will be present but instability is the big question. The atmosphere will need to be monitored closely on Monday afternoon and storm severity potential will be dependent on the first wave of storm affects on the atmosphere. If severe storms develop the primary threats will be heavy rainfall and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be large hail and tornadoes.
Models continue to increase the amount of rainfall potential across Alabama. Widespread amounts will range from 1" to 3" but locally up to 4-6" can't be ruled out. The RPM model shows a bulls-eye near Tuscaloosa. We'll have to wait and see if the National Weather Service issues a Flash Flood Watch. Overall, the rivers still under flood warnings will be prolonged through much of the upcoming week due to the expected heavy rainfall.
The wintry side...
Much colder air filters in from northwest to southeast on Tuesday causing temperatures to dip into the 40s during the morning hours and rebounding only into the 50s during the afternoon. On top of that, strong northwesterly winds will make it feel even colder. Showers linger through Tuesday morning before exiting eastward.
The coldest air settles in on Wednesday morning and the area will be flirting with freezing conditions. Heads up along and north of I-20 for lows in the lower 30s which could harm some sensitive outdoor plants.
LATE WEEK AND EASTER WEEKEND:
Dry and below normal on Wednesday and Thursday.
Showers return on Friday.
Dry and pleasant over Easter weekend!
We'll continue to keep you posted on the active weather ahead!
Jill Gilardi Fox 6 Meteorologist