Wow! It actually felt like fall today for a change. After have three days of record-breaking temperatures this past week, we had a few reports of morning lows in the upper 30s. Haleyville dropped to 38 this morning while most areas were in the lower 40s. We will continue to see clear skies during the afternoon and evening. Highs Saturday will reach around 70 degrees with temperatures just a bit warmer during the afternoon Sunday. Dewpoint temperatures are very low contributing to an added fire danger this weekend.
Race fans at Talladega can enjoy some picture-perfect race weather with comfortable temperatures both Saturday and Sunday. At the race Sunday afternoon, temperatures will reach around 77 degrees with mostly sunny skies.
What about rain? We certainly need it badly. This photograph by pilot Charles Welden of Lake Purdy in Shelby County tells the story of just how dire the need for rain is.
I've looked at several long range models and the forecast looks bleak for any rainfall. There is a "hint" of some rainfall in early November, but our reliability that far out is not very good. Even then it looks like most of the rain would remain to our south if that model verified. Later this week, we're expecting highs in the upper 70s to near 80s degrees. This means we're back to above average temperatures through the work week. We can still expect some cool nights overnight lows in the 50s.
The long range forecast keeps our weather abnormally dry with above average temperatures through the Winter months.
The drought is an example of a feedback loop. The dry soil means limited evapotranspiration from the ground and plants. This lack of water vapor means few clouds and few clouds mean no rain. Thus, the drought gets worse!
Have a great evening!
WBRC First Alert Chief Meteorologist