There's still no rain in the forecast. At the earliest, we will not see rain until late October and with the dry and windy conditions fire warnings are in effect across the state. This afternoon temperatures are reaching the 80s across the area. Expect breezy conditions with winds up to 20mph. It will be cool tonight with overnight lows around 50. We may even see a few reports of temperatures in the upper 40s across the state.
Hurricane Matthew has now become a sub-tropical storm and is heading east away from North Carolina. Forecast models are indicating a track to the east instead of the "loop" we had first thought. We're also tracking Nicole. Nicole will not impact the United States, but will hit Bermuda this week.
Locally, temperatures will be just a bit cooler this week with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Tuesday night we could see temperatures in the upper 40s across the area. Some forecast models like the GFS are hinting at lower 40s for East Alabama by Tuesday morning.
Take a look and compare the "coolness" of the GFS.
Sunshine is expected to continue through the week. There is a gradual warm up expected by the weekend. Temperatures Friday and Saturday will likely reach the mid 80s.
Long Term: The forecast will likely be unseasonably dry through the next two to three months. The Climate Prediction Center is indicating above average temperatures and below average rainfall. Droughts tend to be feedback loops. This means the lack of rain further intensifies the drought. For clouds and rain to develop, you need evaporation from soil moisture and transpiration from plants. With the dry conditions, there's not much for evaporation. We will have to see a pattern shift that will allow for Gulf moisture to be transported northward. At this point, I'm not seeing any pattern shift in sight. This is bad news.
WBRC First Alert Chief Meteorologist