During the Summer months here in Alabama, cool fronts are usually a non-event. But, this Summer we're seeing more fronts actually make it through the state. I'm looking at two separate setups that could bring some drier air and even a dose of slightly cooler temperatures next week.
First Front: The next cool front set to roll through the area is sometime between late Wednesday and early Thursday. This front will bring some rain for the northern section of the state Wednesday night and additional rain Thursday for areas along the I-20 corridor and southward. While no severe weather is forecast with this setup, we could see a few thunderstorms. This is the NAM output for early Thursday.
Weekend Relief: I don't think we'll see cooler temperatures with this boundary. I do feel confident it will usher in some drier air. This drier airmass will mean more comfortable conditions over the weekend with lower dewpoint temperatures. Temperatures will remain hot with highs both Saturday and Sunday reaching the lower 90s.
Beach Forecast: Rain chances will be fairly low with only a 20% rain chance along the Gulf Coast. Highs will reach the lower 90s with morning lows in the mid 70s. Water temperature is 87 degrees.
Cooler Next Week: We will likely see some milder temperatures next week as a deeper trough digs into the Southeast. This system will likely mean some rain and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday. Expect temperatures in the 80s.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist
What is a supermoon?
The scientific term for the phenomenon is "perigee moon." Full Moons vary in size because of the oval shape of the Moon's orbit. The Moon follows an elliptical path around Earth with one side ("perigee") about 50,000 km closer than the other ("apogee"). Full Moons that occur on the perigee side of the Moon's orbit seem extra big and bright.
This coincidence happens three times in 2014. On July 12th and Sept 9th the Moon becomes full on the same day as perigee. On August 10th it becomes full during the same hour as perigee—arguably making it an extra-super Moon." This is all according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
Hear about the Moon Illusion before?
The illusion occurs when the Moon is near the horizon. For reasons not fully understood by astronomers or psychologists, low-hanging Moons look unnaturally large when they beam through trees, buildings and other foreground objects. When the Moon illusion amplifies a perigee Moon, the swollen orb rising in the east at sunset can seem super indeed.
Here's a look at the Supermoon from 5AM in Pell City. Share pics with us! You'll get to see it again this evening when it rises around 8PM.
Jill Gilardi Meteorologist
The radar came alive around 5pm this afternoon with numberous thunderstorms moving into Alabama from Mississippi. These storms are still producing heavy rain, intense lightning, and gusty winds. Storms will pack a punch of Pickens, Tuscaloosa, Hale, Greene, and Bibb Counties. This is the radar snapshot from 6:45pm. The VIPIR track has most of the storms tracking north or northeast.
The Tuscaloosa Towercam located on the PNC Bank Building is giving us a great view of the approaching storm. Notice the rain shaft along with the dark sky looking to the Southwest. Dewpoint temperatures are in the upper 60s to lower 70s and this means a very juicy airmass. Rainfall amount could easily exceed 2"with some of these storms.
The high resolution RPM model is showing some weakening after 8pm. Most of the shower and thunderstorms activity should end after midnight. Thunderstorms will still pack a punch for West Alabama through the early evening with rain chances remaining high. Storms are tracking from the Southwest to the Northeast.
A ridge of high pressure will begin building across the region Sunday and expect drier weather and hotter temperatures next week. Highs will reach the mid 90s by Wednesday.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist
We are tracking a spin in the atmosphere called a mesoscale convective vorticity moving across northern Alabama. It continues to produce some locally heavy rainfall especially across Winston and Cullman counties where estimates are over 2". The main batch is shifting slowly to the northeast and focused along and north of a line from Winfield to Jasper to Warrior to Oneonta. South of that main zone of precipitation there are scattered showers and storms.
THREATS: Locally heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding and lightning.
SIMULATED RADAR SHOWS SEVERAL CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND:
Best chance for rain today is this morning and lingering through the late PM.
Morning showers and storms possible on Saturday with slightly lower PM chances than previous days.
Overall, several disturbances combined with heating of the day instability will result in scattered to numerous showers and storms today and tomorrow and isolated to scattered over the weekend. Temperatures will be held back a bit due to cloud cover but humidity will stay high.
Fox 6 Meteorologist
As Earth orbits the sun, it tilts 23.5 degrees on its axis. Our summer solstice occurs when Earth's northern hemisphere faces toward the sun most directly.
Why isn't the longest day of the year also the hottest you might wonder?
Even though Earth's oceans and atmosphere soak up the most rays on the summer solstice, it takes them several weeks to re-radiate that energy back to us.
Why does the solstice occur?
The word solstice is from the Latin solstitium from sol (sun) and stitium (to stop), because it appears the sun stops at the solstice. The solstice happens twice annually due to the Earth’s axis of rotation.
How is the solstice celebrated?
The solstice marks the first day of summer in the Northern Hemisphere, and that means flip-flops, beach trips and barbecues. In southern England, thousands flock to Stonehenge to see the sun rise from the vantage point of the 4,000-year-old solar monument.
The summer solstice is also a time of celebration for Christians and Pagans. In Christianity, the first day of summer marks the festival of St. John the Baptist, and in Paganism followers celebrate what they call "midsummer" with bonfires and feasts.
After today, the days get shorter by about a minute each day.
FIRST DAY OF SUMMER FORECAST
Warming up quickly to the upper 80s and lower 90s. Scattered showers and storms develop this afternoon. Strongest of the storms will produce heavy downpours, frequent lightning and gusty winds.
Have a great day!
-Jill Gilardi Fox 6 Meteorologist
It's been a gorgeous Saturday with only a few showers south of I-20 developing today and those were short-lived. The air mass is very stable making it tough for any any widespread rain to develop. Most of us enjoyed sunny skies and slightly less humid conditions this afternoon. The 1km visible satellite picture only shows a few scattered cumulus clouds this afternoon.
For tonight, expect picture-perfect weather. Overnight lows with fall into the mid to upper 60s.
Father's Day Forecast: We'll wake up to mostly sunny skies. During the afternoon, we'll see scattered clouds and the possibility of a few isolated storms. The best chance of rain again will be south of I-20. The front has stalled near I-85 and with a stable atmosphere I think most of Sunday will be dry. Highs during the afternoon will reach the upper 80s.
Week Ahead: It's going to get a bit hot over the next several days. A ridge of high pressure will build across the area and should keep the rain chances down a bit. I'm looking at highs returning to the lower 90s during the week. Monday and Tuesday both appear mainly dry with highs around 88. Rain chances will remain around 20% early in the week. It appears the pattern may become a bit more unsettled by Thursday and Friday with rain chances around 30%. Highs will reach around 91 with lows in the 70s. The GFS is indicating a fairly decent chance of cloudy skies with scattered showers and storms later in the week - especially Thursday afternoon.
Beach Forecast: Scattered storms will prevail during the afternoon Sunday with highs around 85. Monday and Tuesday appear mostly dry with highs in the mid 80s. We'll see a better chance of only isolated storms Wednesday through Friday. Highs will remain in the mid 80s with lows in the mid 70s. Water temperature is coming in at around 84 degrees.
Tropical Update: Tropics remain quiet at this time.
Have a great evening. I'll have the latest on your forecast tonight on Fox6 News.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist
It has been another busy afternoon in the weather center with a few severe thunderstorms already impacting parts of our area with strong winds and hail. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect through 9 p.m. for Lamar, Fayette, Walker, Jefferson, Shelby, Talladega, Clay, Coosa, Chilton, Bibb, Tuscaloosa, Pickens, Greene, Hale, and Perry counties in our viewing area. More thunderstorms are developing back across Mississippi in response to a nearby upper level disturbance. There is a chance these storms could organize into another convective system and push eastward this evening. So don’t be surprised if you hear some thunder on the horizon late tonight. Tomorrow the storms should thin out a bit but be ready for another increase in coverage on Tuesday.
STORMY PATTERN CONTINUES: An upper level trough is expected to develop over the region beginning late tomorrow night. This will bring more clouds and an increased chance for rain and thunderstorms on Tuesday. The storms may not be quite as organized and they may also be slower movers, meaning higher rain amounts. The cooler air aloft associated with this system will keep rain chances higher than average through Wednesday and Thursday so keep the umbrella handy. A severe storm or two can’t be ruled over the next few days.
I think it is safe to say that we won’t have to worry about a lack of rain on the garden anytime soon! Be sure to stay with Fox6 for continuing severe weather updates and we will also have forecast specifics beginning at 9 p.m.
Fox6 Meteorologist Wes Wyatt
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