This morning we're already seeing the heat index reach the upper 90s. The atmosphere is juicy and ripe for afternoon convection. I'm not talking about widespread severe storms, but I am expecting some areas to receive locally heavy rain. The rain chances today will be slightly higher than yesterday with models targeting East Alabama as well.
If you're planning your Wednesday, I expect the radar to begin lighting up around 2pm and the rain chances remaining high through at least 8pm.
What to Expect? Heavy rain, gusty winds, and frequent cloud to ground lightning. A few storms could be strong with winds over 30mph.
I'm including a few screen grabs from the HRRR. That's the High Resolution Rapid Refresh model. It is a short-range model that very well with Summertime convective storms. You can see how things ramp up from around 1pm to 5pm.
Then later today during the afternoon rush-hour traffic we will see more widespread rain and storms.
We'll continue this pattern through the rest of the week and weekend. Hopefully, you will get some well-needed rain at your house.
Football Forecast: The UAB Blazers will be playing in Starkville and they will have the best chance for seeing some heavier rain and thunderstorms. Meanwhile, I'm expecting a 40% rain chance during the Alabama game in Tuscaloosa. Rain chances in Auburn should also be around 40%. Expect highs in the lower 90s at all three locations. The weather should be fine for tailgaters, but have some rain gear just in case during the afternoon and early evening.
Extended Range Cool Off: A cool down is possible as head toward the middle of the month. The GFS is indicating a significant pattern change between September 13-15th.
We'll likely see rain and storms followed by significantly cooler air. We're still a ways out, but the GFS usually does a good job on large scale pattern changes. It's too early to say just how cool the air will be, but I'm expecting a taste of Fall.
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Have a great Wednesday!
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist