We may have some ups and downs when it comes to temperatures, but there is no real threat for any significant weather until Tuesday at the earliest. I am watching a system that will likely bring rain, thunderstorms, and even the possibility of severe storms.
Before we get too excited, I'm not seeing anything showing indications of a severe weather outbreak. The setup looks marginal at this point with the greatest risk for thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening Tuesday. The EHI or Energy Helicity Index from the GFS is showing the highest values in Mississippi and West Alabama Tuesday evening. In fact, the most likely area for severe storms should be in Mississippi based on this data.
Dew point temperatures will remain in the lower 60s on Tuesday. Typically (not always) - significant severe weather is favored when the dew point temperatures are above 65 degrees.
At this point, I think the overall severe threat will remain low for Alabama, but continue to watch this system for any changes. A bit more instability could mean the difference between a few thunderstorms and something much more threatening. We'll continue to have updates on our WBRC First Alert weather app and the weatherblog.
In the meantime, temperatures will fall this evening with overnight lows around 30 degrees. Expect clearing skies this afternoon. Sunshine is in the forecast Saturday with highs reaching the upper 50s during the afternoon. We could see a small chance for showers Saturday evening with a better chance for scattered rain on Sunday through the early afternoon.
WBRC First Alert Chief Meteorologist