An area low pressure is bringing rain, sleet, and snow to Texas tonight and this system is tracking our way. You'll notice the changes beginning tomorrow with cloudy skies in the forecast when you get up early Thursday. Our days of sunny skies are gone until Saturday afternoon.
While most of the rain locally will arrive on Friday, we will begin to see some wet weather Thursday night. Forecast models are suggesting some of the rain for Southwest Alabama will arrive as early as 4-5pm Thursday. This will mainly be light to moderate showers. This is not the setup for severe weather. Temperatures will reach the mid 50s tomorrow with lows tomorrow night in the lower 40s. Of course, this will be too warm for anything other than a cold rain.
The rain will appear earlier for Southwest Alabama. If you're in Sumter, Marengo, Hale, Greene, or Perry Counties - expect some rain before 5pm. Rainfall amounts will total between .5 and 1" between Thursday night and Friday evening.
What about snowfall? Forecast models have struggled a bit with the chance for wintry weather. I don't think we will see any snow or sleet Friday morning. However, it's possible we could see a mix beginning around 7pm Friday across North Alabama. This would include Marion, Winston, Cullman, and Etowah Counties. Snow flurries are possible in the Tennessee Valley with some accumulating snowfall across Tennessee.
The NAM is the most aggressive with Winter precipitation. This is the output for tomorrow night and shows some wintry precipitation across the Tennessee Valley. As you know, the pink is mixed precipitation and the white is snowfall.
This system should clear out Saturday morning. I think we'll still see some low level clouds early Saturday, but skies should look better during the afternoon with the return of sunshine. This is a system that we will continue to watch closely. But, it appears mainly as a cloudy, cool, and rainy system.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist