I think the Groundhog may have actually got a forecast right this year because we've seen anything but an early Spring. The Climate Prediction Center keeps the forecast temperatures below average through next week.
Tonight I'm on the snow patrol again. This is not a situation like January or even a few weeks ago. Fortunately, the ground temperatures are quite warm and we're not dealing with air temperatures in the 20s. I am tracking quite a bit of moisture on radar right now that is arriving ahead of the cold air. The rain is tracking from west to east across Arkansas and Mississippi and will impact the area during the overnight.
I expect rain to begin at first followed by sleet and then eventually snowfall. The peak time for snowfall is from 3am until 7am and mainly for areas north of I-20. I would expected based on model data including our RPM and the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) the highest probability of accumulating snowfall will be in Marion, Winston, Lamar, Fayette, and Cullman Counties. The Highway 278 corridor is the most likely area for snowfall with this event. The HRRR for 5am tomorrow is indicating the freezing line still staying just to our north.
The limiting factor on travel issues is the warm ground. Surface temperatures are in the mid to upper 50s. It would take an incredible amount of snowfall to result in accumulations on roadways. The window of opportunity is also fairly narrow for snowfall to accumulate. Temperatures are expected to climb above freezing tomorrow afternoon with highs around 40. Some of the northernmost counties may only reach the upper 30s.
We'll keep you updated on Fox6 News tonight and through tomorrow morning.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist