We're expecting more rain and thunderstorms this week across the area. I'm not talking severe weather, but a wetter pattern. Some rain will develop today along a stalled-out front to our south. Just like yesterday - the best rain chances will remain south of I-20. Temperatures during the afternoon will range from 87-90 degrees depending on cloud cover and rain at location. The NAM is indicating some rain in especially in our southern counties later this afternoon. To our north, an upper-level disturbance is forecast to move through. This will mean a few isolated strong storms. These storms would include gusty winds over 30mph, small hail, and lightning. The stronger storms would be exception to the rule. Most of what we'll see is just going to be some rain.
We will likely see some scattered showers again in tomorrow's forecast with a few embedded thunderstorms. We will continue to see scattered rain and storms through the rest of the week. Models are indicating increased rain coverage south of I-20 on Thursday and Friday. Below is the NAM model output for Thursday afternoon.
High pressure over the area is expected to track east on Friday and through the weekend. This will mean a better coverage of rain Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Rain will likely impact high school football games Friday evening. I would already go ahead and start thinking indoor plans for this upcoming weekend. Rain chances by Saturday could reach 50-percent. Rainfall is not a bad thing. We're officially over 3" below average for rainfall according to data gathered at the Birmingham airport. The long range forecasts paint a somewhat dry picture through the Fall.
The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above average temperatures for the next three months combined with lower than average precipitation.
Meanwhile, we continue to monitor the tropics. The ninth named storm of the season has formed - Ian. The tropical storm will not be a factor for the United States. The official National Hurricane Center track keeps the storm away from the United States.
We'll continue to keep an eye on rain chances this weekend. Make sure you have all the updates with our WBRC First Alert Weather app.
Have a great afternoon!
WBRC First Alert Chief Meteorologist