Besides some spotty drizzle on Saturday morning, most of the day will be rain-free though a spotty shower can't be ruled out during the afternoon hours. Don't let the cloudy skies scare you off from enjoying the many outdoor events taking place. We just recommend you bring a poncho with you just in case a shower passes by. A-Day game weather looks mostly cloudy with temperatures in the 70s in both Tuscaloosa and Auburn.
Rain and storm chances increase dramatically overnight as a piece energy associated with an upper level low across the Midwest tracks eastward. The primary threat Saturday night into Sunday morning will be heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding. There is a small or marginal threat for a severe storm during this time period and the strongest storms will be capable of producing large hail and gusty winds. An even greater severe threat sets up across south Alabama.
We'll experience a lull in activity late Sunday morning through mid day. During the lull, the atmosphere will become increasingly unstable and any storm that pops in that environment could quickly turn severe. Storms will be isolated in nature on Sunday afternoon.
A second round of severe storms moves in on Sunday night into early Monday morning from the west. These storms could pack a nasty punch and will be more widespread as better lift and wind energy moves in ahead of an approaching cold front. There is a slight severe risk for the entire state which means severe storms are likely though low in coverage and of varied intensity.
Please be weather aware on Sunday and have multiple ways of receiving weather watches and warnings. All types of severe weather can't be ruled out on Sunday during both episodes. The highest threat will be damaging straight line winds and a moderate threat for large hail and isolated tornadoes.
If you haven't prepped a disaster supply kit, now is the time to do so. In a backpack, fill it with some toiletries, water, flashlight, batteries, a pair of shoes, a charger etc. A link to additional items you might want to gather: http://www.ready.gov/sites/default/files/documents/files/checklist_1.pdf You just never know when a storm could knock out power for several hours or cause some damage to your home and so it's better off being prepared for the worst and nothing happen than the rather.
This early out, it's impossible to get too cutesy with storm details but at this point in time I am most concerned on Sunday night for the strongest storms to impact areas west of I-65. The storms will be most intense Sunday evening across Mississippi and the areas first impacted by that activity in Alabama will be Lamar, Marion and then Fayette, Walker, Winston and Cullman counties. Those storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph and possible tornadoes. Be on guard across this area especially between the hours of 9pm-3am.
We will continue to keep you updated on this developing storm system that could mean a couple rounds of severe weather. So while the weather is quiet, take the time to prepare for possible active weather.
Have a good day,
Jill Gilardi Fox 6 Meteorologist