Computer models all agree that widespread amounts over 1" likely today! A quick scroll through and you'll see.
Has moved in across west Alabama and spreading east and northeastward very slowly. Radar estimates over 2" so far and climbing in Hamilton as of 5:30AM. The biggest concern with round number one is heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect until 1PM Tuesday and that means that conditions may develop that leads to flash flooding. The heaviest precipitation this morning will likely fall between 5AM-11AM and then lighter rain through the early PM hours before a lull develops from west to east.
RAINFALL FORECAST: The flow right now is from the southwest and that will allow rain to train over the same areas and without a big push from the west, the movement of the precipitation will be slow which may result in flash flooding. Rainfall amounts will range from 1-3" with localized higher amounts.
FLOODING: 1. Rivers forecast to reach stages of minor flooding. 2. Flooding likely along roadways in low lying areas. 3. Flooding roadways near creeks and streams. 4. Ponding in urban areas and poor drainage areas.
Fires up along the cold front this afternoon that's still a couple states to the west. West Alabama, west of I-65 will have some time to destabilize this afternoon and storms could be strong to severe as they move in during the late afternoon and evening hours. Main threats will be flash flooding and damaging winds along a squall line. Any discrete cells that develop could rotate so a low end tornado threat exists along with large hail. Round two mainly impacts the state from 7PM-7AM.
HOUR BY HOUR FORECAST
Temperatures today will start in the 60s and warm into the lower 70s this afternoon.
Tuesday is going to be a windy and significantly colder day with lows in the 40s and highs in the 50s.
Frosty conditions likely by Wednesday morning.
Next chance for rain is on Friday.
Easter weekend is looking mainly dry and pleasant.
Forecast details on Good Day Alabama!
Fox6 Meteorologist Jill Gilardi